¶1Hello, hope you are doing well. So today I wanted to do like a roundup. So I've been doing this uh Poly Market Cal Hyperlquid AI bot trading uh for at least 30 days now, like four weeks. Just been running in the background on my VPS servers and stuff like that. So I wanted to do like a roundup, show you some of my um interesting results.
¶2And yeah, we most of them have been kind of shut down early if they don't work. But these are kind of the ones that have been running the longest. And yeah, the ones that didn't do anything, I pretty much shut down. So, uh, I thought we just can go through everyone. So, these are kind of the three strategies we're going to look at today.
¶3I have bunch more, of course, but, uh, these are the longest running ones. So the 1 cent bitcoin up down lottery uh yeah as we will see soon that has been performing uh worst. Uh my quant vfx this is more like a weather training uh training weather trading automated system I have uh have been doing pretty good. Uh also my machine learning model I created for the five minute BTC updown market has also been doing pretty good. It's really low frequency, but as you will see, it's been doing pretty good.
¶4So, we're going to check out the results on that. And why don't we just get into it. There's nothing else to wait for. So, let's just start with the 1 cent Bitcoin kind of lottery strategy. This is basically where you just place 1 cent bid on both sides and hope you can get a fill and make that,000% or 90 9800% gain.
¶5Right? So these are kind of the results for this strategy. Yeah, you can kind of see this over time. This is like yeah, almost three weeks I think or at least three weeks. So net P&L is only $13.
¶6So it's not like 3.5% return. It's not bad, but it's not like incredible. Uh you can see the draw down is kind of hard here. It's like $63 draw down max. That is pretty crazy.
¶7But you can see we had one point where we were quite up like 50. Then we had like this big draw down here. You can kind of see it here. This draw down was insane. I think it kind of was market was changing a bit.
¶8Uh yeah, you can kind of see the sharp ratio. It's not that perfect for this. Uh robustness is really bad last week, but um overall we are still in the green. So we get some good data on this. So yeah, uh pretty interesting.
¶9I'm just going to keep it running because yeah, you don't really lose money, but you don't really gain that much either. So if we move on to I think has been my best performing model. This is my quant VFX. This is like weather trading. Uh let me see if I can find it.
¶10I think this is the best one at least like from the graph perspective. You can see here 29% or 28.9% return. Uh 121 net P&L on like a3 $400 account. That's really good. And the win rate is like fi 58%.
¶11Uh like the win rate doesn't matter too much here. It's about finding those plus EV trades. And we have been doing really good the last few weeks. Like you can see we don't make any a lot of bad trades. And if you kind of look at the draw down, it's very low like $10.
¶12What is max draw down? 10. So this strategy has been do doing really well. So $10 draw down. That's really good, right?
¶13uh the sharp here is a you can't really calculate this but uh it's good uh it it's a bit strange to do sharpie ratio on these strategies but uh this has been very good kind of I think the best performing ones I think 25 market days right uh with this curve that looks pretty strong so I guess I can just show you here on poly market 2 this is kind of the curve right so yeah that's that one and the final strategy I took take a look at was the ML model. This is like me trying to build a machine learning model that tries to predict the five minute BTC market up and down uh and place a trade when we kind of find some dislocation in the pricing. So this has been going like really good lately. I I think I made like a small adjustment after this big draw down. Uh but this has been really sparse.
¶14So you can see the $80 draw down here. I can't really remember what I did here, but if we did cut this out. We did really well lately the last 12 14 days, last two weeks. So, net PN analyst 110 uh 19% return, 72% win rate. Uh, of course, it matters a bit more here, but uh also we have like some um yeah, you can kind of see daily P&L here.
¶15And if you look at trades, you can see mostly wins, right? 72% and lately it hasn't. We had this cluster here of losses. Can't really remember what I did here, but I did something, I think. And this is of course pretty even down up.
¶16Of course, it should be big um law of big numbers and kind of get even here over time. But lately, this has been doing really well. Look at this upward streak here. But it's really low frequency. Can we actually see how many trades?
¶17Yeah, it's only been doing 23 + 9. So 32 trades in like almost a month. That's like one in average per day. So really low uh frequency. But actually lately when it actually decides to do a trade, it's take a position, it's been doing really well.
¶18So yeah, I'm quite happy just to I guess I could show you this account too. Yeah, this is more like a mixed account. I have some other stuff here, but you can see this is 8 hours ago plus 42. Uh you can see we had a loss here, right? Uh or did we?
¶19I think this was a loss 19, right? Plus uh six here. I guess [snorts] we can kind of see that here. We had like a loss here, right? You can see that.
¶20Yeah, loss here. plus six and last plus 20. So yeah, we did have a loss here actually. But uh yeah, that is basically kind of the three strategies I've been looking at uh that I've been running for like three weeks now. And I'm just going to keep expanding, adding more strategies, and when we put everything together, [snorts] hopefully it kind of grows over time.
¶21So also these are kind of the strategies I'm going to kind of launch on my new uh max quant like a micro hedge funds for AI agents. This is just an experiment too. I'm going to try to put these strategies live so people can or like AI agents can invest like very small amounts so you can do like 1 millionth of a dollar instead of having a hedge fund that needs you need $1 million to invest. I wanted to do one millionth of a dollar for AI agents to try this. So, I'm going to come back more talk a bit about this uh in in another video probably.
¶22So, I thought I can just show you kind of uh it's nothing to do with this quant VFX, but I thought I can just show you one um uh system that is coming up very soon that's going to go live, place some orders and see what happens. So why don't I just show you that now and uh we can come back a bit later and check out some of the outcomes after some time has passed. Uh this is my Cali weather system strategy. So basically I wanted to show you kind of how this works live. So I think every day at around yeah I don't know for me it's like 4 p.m.
¶23I think yeah 400 p.m. Um there's a new market on Cal on weather. So, I have a system that tries to be very early in this market and try to place some good resting orders. So, I thought I'd just record this live just because this is like the 30-day results video anyway. And let me show you like one of these strategies.
¶24So, this is fully autonomous. You can see it's running now. It's 2 minutes to launch or something. So, this is just running now. Um, monitoring.
¶25And you can see here we have one left over from yesterday. Okay. Do we have any positions from yesterday? Yeah, we have one left. So, yeah, this didn't go as planned, but uh it's still here.
¶26So, you can see we have one order resting from yesterday. This is too wide of a spread, right? It's 59 versus 36. So, this is probably not We might have just cancelled this later, but uh it's 1 minute now to launch. So, let's just uh yeah, watch this.
¶27And you can see now uh this is running on a VPS of course but when the orders starts to come in here you can kind of see that this is like fully autonomous and these have been like all the systems I've talked about today uh with some pretty good results if you ask me have been they are autonomous they are running on like VPS servers and stuff like that it's not that I'm managing them I'm just looking in and make sure they are running okay here you can see some orders are coming in here highest temporary in New Park Miami tomorrow. Uh yeah, I think that was all of the buckets. And now we can kind of check the pricing. Um yeah, we kind of a bit off here. You can see we kind of missed with 17 cents on the opening on this bucket.
¶28Only three cents here. That's pretty good. Means we have a good resting order here. We missed kind of on the favorite bucket here. You can see 37 to 54, 7-6 in New York, 17 to 39.
¶29So this is like a working operation. Over time we will kind of be more precise in our opening prices here. So this kind of was a bit off. I don't think we filled anything yet. No.
¶30So you can see these are probably just going to keep resting now. Uh but sometimes uh the prices swing in the beginning. So we could grab some interesting orders here. But for now I guess we didn't do that. Maybe tomorrow we get something.
¶31But uh yeah, that is how this works live. This is the this is this is not the weather QFX. This is just some other thing. I guess I didn't monitor this, but this is how this one at least works in testing now in the beginning. Okay, so we are back again on Cal now.
¶32You can see pretty much all the same orders are here, but we did get some at least one fill here. You can see we did fill at 14 cents. It's only one share though. But uh you can see it's possible to fill these orders. So this has meant two cents in profit now uh while our orders is still resting here.
¶33Just uh yeah, the prices are kind of shaping up now. But uh I'm just going to keep these resting orders here and see if something moves, we can get like an fill or something. So yeah, I guess that was uh basically what I wanted to talk a bit about today. And a lot of time goes kind of into doing research to finding these strategies. Uh but it's really fun at least when they kind of pay off with uh stuff like this, right?
¶34So you don't really lose a lot. Of course, you get a lot of draw down. $80 draw down. Um but $10 draw down. That's really this is kind of my favorite system so far.
¶35Uh but yeah, uh basically just wanted to do an update. Hope this gave you some inspiration to start looking into this yourself. Uh I might do like a Patreon or something in the future when I kind of have a bit more knowledge about this so I can kind of share some of the strategies I'm using a bit more in detail. But uh we'll see about that. If you want that, give this video a like, give a comment or something and I might look more into that.
¶36So yeah, um yeah, wish you a great start to the week and hopefully I'm back again very soon with a new